

2026 Predictions as a Comic Book and Poster Series
Summary: Short and easily digested versions of Jakob Nielsen’s 18 predictions for UX and AI in 2026: A 10-Page comic book and a series of 10 posters. My 18 predictions for UX and AI in 2026 turned into a very long article of almost 10,000 words. I recommend reading the full thing, because details matter. But if you’re pressed for time, here are three fast ways of getting an overview: Music video about AI & UX in 2026 (YouTube, 5 min.) A 10-page comic strip A series of 10 s

Jakob Nielsen
Jan 266 min read


18 Predictions for 2026
Summary: Accelerating AI capabilities will shift focus from raw intelligence to autonomous agents and Generative UI, making UX the primary business moat. Multimodal integration and physical AI will revolutionize workflows, rendering static interfaces and single-purpose tools obsolete. However, progress faces hurdles like compute shortages and a widening class divide between premium and free-tier users. Let’s peek into Jakob’s crystal ball to see what’s ahead for 2026. (Nano

Jakob Nielsen
Jan 1337 min read


Estimating AI’s Rate of Progress with UX Design and Research Methods
Summary: When can AI replace UX designers? We need longitudinal research to compare AI with human experts across multiple UX methods and track the improvement rates. Results could define an AI scaling law for UX skills, helping companies decide when to delegate what UX work to AI versus humans. We need to discover if a scaling law exists for AI’s ability to perform UX and usability work. (Similar to the well-established existing AI scaling laws .) This includes facilitatin

Jakob Nielsen
Oct 30, 20256 min read


UX Roundup: AI-Created Podcast | Likely to Recommend? | Unproductive Metrics | Are UIs Needed? | Faster Tech Diffusion | AI Predictions | Sam Altman Essay | AI UX Job
Podcast created by AI | What people say vs. do relative to product recommendations | Metrics that incentivize the wrong behavior

Jakob Nielsen
Sep 30, 202411 min read


UX Roundup: LEGO Labs | Mockup UX Book | Revisiting Futurism | Cheap AI Enables New Services | Prompt Roles | Mistral 2 | Kling | Good AI Animation | Design Highest GPA
Lessons from LEGO’s Creative Play Lab | What new products and services can be built with 10x or 10 less investment needed because of AI?

Jakob Nielsen
Jul 29, 202415 min read
