

18 Predictions for 2026
Summary: Accelerating AI capabilities will shift focus from raw intelligence to autonomous agents and Generative UI, making UX the primary business moat. Multimodal integration and physical AI will revolutionize workflows, rendering static interfaces and single-purpose tools obsolete. However, progress faces hurdles like compute shortages and a widening class divide between premium and free-tier users. Let’s peek into Jakob’s crystal ball to see what’s ahead for 2026. (Nano

Jakob Nielsen
Jan 1337 min read


UX Roundup: How People Use AI | AI Does User Research | Founding Designers | Prompt Engineering | AI Agent Use Cases | Electricity Fuels AI | GPT 5.2 Beats Humans
Summary : How People Use AI for professional and creative jobs | AI conducts user interviews at scale, converting qualitative quotes to quant data | When and how to hire the first designer in a startup company | Prompt engineering debunked: Don’t specify a mastery persona | Longitudinal user research needed to judge AI agent usability | A new generation of power turbines may meet the need for AI electricity | GPT 5.2 132% better than human experts on economically valuable tas

Jakob Nielsen
Dec 15, 202520 min read


UX Roundup: AI Empathy | Transparency About Compute Limits | UI Modes | Seedream 4.5 | AI In/Out of Silicon Valley | Kling Speaks
Summary : AI exhibits better empathy than human clinicians | Compute limits should be made transparent in the user experience | User interface modes usually lower usability | Seedream 4.5 image model now with improved text rendering | How feasible is it to build an AI company outside Silicon Valley | The Kling video model now generates speaking characters UX Roundup for December 8, 2025. (Nano Banana Pro) Creation by Discovery New music video about how creators explore the la

Jakob Nielsen
Dec 8, 202515 min read


UX Roundup: UX Leaders Need Profits | In-depth AI | Emotional Avatar Animation | Construction Time | User Needs
Summary : UX should quest for profits, not a seat at the table | In-depth AI reviews of draft academic papers | Emotional lip-synching of avatars when singing | Time needed to build AI supercompute data centers | Discover user needs UX Roundup for December 1, 2025. (Nano Banana Pro) Abandon Your CEO Crush Matthew Holloway published a great article deploring design leaders’ fixation on reporting directly to CEOs . He wrote that this resembles adolescent crushes: idealized fant

Jakob Nielsen
Dec 1, 202510 min read


UX Roundup: Creativity for Old Users | Conflicting AI Goals | Automated Social Campaigns | Digital Storytelling | Valuable Music
Summary : AI helps old users stay creative | Microsoft, Google, and our AI Future | Automatically generate on-brand campaigns | AI-created digital storytelling is worth $2 billion | AI music valued even higher than AI slides UX Roundup for November 24, 2025. (Nano Banana Pro) Happy Thanksgiving (Seedream 4) Happy Thanksgiving from UX Tigers and Jakob Nielsen! I made a short song with my mascot tiger celebrating Thanksgiving , combining animations from Seedance Pro 1, Grok Ima

Jakob Nielsen
Nov 24, 202517 min read


UX Roundup: Adapt or Die | Image Style Explorations | Usability Tarot | AI Compute Growth | Auto Slides | Usability Video Game | Logo Styles
Adapt or Die | Image style explorations | Making a custom Tarot card | AI training compute grows 2.5x per year | Converting an article into slides with AI | Usability Hunt video game | Logo style variations

Jakob Nielsen
Apr 28, 20256 min read


UX Roundup: ElevenLabs Podcast | Usability Guidelines as Figma Plugin | AI Kills Companies | o1 and o1 Pro
New podcast creation | Figma Plugin with UX design guidelines | Traditional company business models disrupted by AI | New AI models

Jakob Nielsen
Dec 9, 20248 min read


UX Roundup: Cookie Banners Waste Time | Building AI Infrastructure | Bigger AI Training Clusters | AI Avatar Keynote Summary | Virtual Try-On
Cookie banners waste 575 M hours of European users’ time annually | Jensen Huang on AI infrastructure | AI training clusters keep growing

Jakob Nielsen
Dec 2, 20249 min read


UX Roundup: Learning User Testing | Writing with AI | AI Data Center Walkthrough | Runway Experimental UI | AI As Expert Tutor | Geographical Advantage Saudis | Motion Brush
Learn user testing through in-person sessions | Dialectic writing with AI | AI taking the lead to guide users

Jakob Nielsen
Sep 23, 20249 min read


UX Roundup: AI Editing | Speaking This Week | Bad Innovation | Faster Midjourney | Feeling Less Rushed | Improving International Collaboration | OpenAI o1
From AI generation to AI editing | Innovation can be harmful | Is Midjourney getting faster? | AI may make workers feel less time pressure

Jakob Nielsen
Sep 16, 202411 min read


New AI Models: GPT 4o mini and Llama 3.1 405B
AI evolves. Prices drop. Performance rises. Giants compete. Open-source challenges proprietary. Future uncertain. Progress accelerates.

Jakob Nielsen
Jul 24, 20246 min read


The Decade of AI Super-Acceleration
AI's rapid advancement is caused by 3 factors: raw compute, algorithmic efficiency, and "unhobbling." Result: 10,000x AI boost every 4 year

Jakob Nielsen
Jul 10, 20248 min read


Compute Creates Usability
Increased availability of cheap compute creates opportunities for improved usability. AI will continue this trend.

Jakob Nielsen
May 16, 20249 min read
